Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 4.086666 4.863456 5.727422 6.756672 7.946347 9.275069 10.868149
2025-09-28 2.935513 3.923536 5.135316 6.718840 8.720087 11.150519 14.309155
2025-10-05 2.407206 3.536296 5.034220 7.139364 9.989062 13.675659 18.761806
2025-10-12 1.982672 3.163906 4.841226 7.348953 10.944359 15.843964 22.939482
2025-10-19 1.700250 2.918937 4.755365 7.651217 12.010531 18.215611 27.569829
2025-10-26 1.417227 2.608868 4.508294 7.656113 12.612336 19.952396 31.425398
2025-11-02 1.144609 2.257420 4.131448 7.389974 12.745195 20.978791 34.291823
2025-11-09 0.932336 1.965245 3.798564 7.134170 12.839806 21.920985 37.067272
2025-11-16 0.801671 1.795218 3.644219 7.147097 13.354038 23.536408 40.982690
2025-11-23 0.694345 1.648463 3.506504 7.163965 13.863097 25.166756 45.022448
2025-11-30 0.595337 1.498378 3.337786 7.097167 14.208215 26.537120 48.716428
2025-12-07 0.486450 1.303746 3.050288 6.764345 14.030328 26.988029 50.879230
2025-12-14 0.419900 1.193446 2.921555 6.732517 14.419713 28.481412 54.986084
2025-12-21 0.362730 1.093253 2.798631 6.696063 14.795155 29.978423 59.209492
2025-12-28 0.345076 1.089513 2.888491 7.115727 16.104695 33.277123 66.877472
2026-01-04 0.315236 1.046868 2.882097 7.324825 17.006165 35.874098 73.426991
2026-01-11 0.293853 1.022955 2.916125 7.626250 18.122304 38.952119 81.054044
2026-01-18 0.259344 0.952864 2.825700 7.631144 18.610906 40.844707 86.559190
2026-01-25 0.217298 0.848869 2.631506 7.365778 18.487136 41.513878 89.754574
2026-02-01 0.182147 0.756888 2.452265 7.110718 18.355744 42.148488 92.908492
2026-02-08 0.161732 0.708799 2.384503 7.123607 18.828045 44.045603 98.665879
2026-02-15 0.143940 0.665062 2.321615 7.140426 19.308985 45.989303 104.625502
2026-02-22 0.125912 0.615115 2.231712 7.073823 19.584439 47.511581 109.808057